Monitoring recurrent nova U Sco to discover its imminent eruption

Active Dates: April 3, 2019 – April 3, 2020


Abstract:

Frequent monitoring is requested of the recurrent nova U Scorpii over the next year or so to discover the upcoming very-fast eruption. The predicted outburst is for the year 2020.0±0.7. The eruption is likely within the next year, but it could well go off tonight.

Justification:

U Sco has had ten known eruptions, which reliably have gone off every 10.6 years on average (with an RMS variation of ±1.6 years), with the last eruption starting in 2010.1. But AAVSO light curves show that U Sco was substantially brighter than average in the years 2011 and 2012, so the accretion rate was higher than average, so the accumulated material on the surface of the white dwarf is somewhat ahead of the average schedule, so the eruption should happen substantially before the average expectation year of 2020.7. The most likely eruption time is any night now.

Requested Data Types:

Photometry



Targets
Name Magnitude Variability Type Photometry Notes Spectroscopy Notes
U Sco 7.50 NR+E

Cadence: Not Specified

Precision: 100

Not Requested

Spectroscopy Lines:

No spectroscopy lines provided

Photometry Filters:

No photometry filters provided

Comparison Stars:

No comparison stars provided


Co-Authorship

Observers are not eligible for co-authorship.

Additional Observer Input:

Not provided

Additional Submission Location:

Not provided


Forum URL

N/A


Notes:

Principal Investigator: Dr. Bradley E. Schaefer; Imported Campaign (Alert Notice #664)